Colombia Found Enough Gas to Last a Generation. The Country Still Needs Diesel Today.
Petrobras and Ecopetrol confirmed the largest gas discovery in Colombia's history this week. The Sirius-2 well holds over 6 trillion cubic feet of gas, enough to double the country's reserves. First production arrives in the early 2030s. Colombia's diesel crisis is happening now. Think Energy converts what is already in the ground.
Colombia Is Open for Oil Again. The Real Opportunity Is for Who Can Extract and Process It into Diesel.
Colombia's new government has reopened the oil sector after four years of freeze. Ecopetrol is targeting $7 billion in upstream investment. But the country's real energy problem is not just production, it is the gap between the crude it exports and the diesel it imports. The operator who can extract and process on-site closes both sides of that equation.
Diesel Is Now Worth More Than the Crude It Comes From. Here Is What That Means for Operators Who Produce Both.
The diesel crack spread hit a record this week, wider than at any point in recorded market history. Goldman, Citi, BofA and Jefferies all warned about the same crisis. US diesel reserves are near 23-year lows. The problem is not crude supply. It is conversion capacity. For an operator who both produces and processes, that gap is not a crisis. It is the business.
Colombia's Diesel Is No Longer Just a Fuel. It Is a National Security Issue.
Colombia's oil association warned this week that diesel may need to cover 9% of national electricity generation in an extreme El Niño to prevent blackouts. When a country's grid depends on the same fuel industrial operators need to run, purchasing from the open market is no longer a viable strategy. Think Energy's answer is on-site production.
The World No Longer Has an Oil Problem, It Has a Refining Problem.
Your diesel bill did not come down this month. It will not come down next month either. The IEA, JPMorgan, and Oxford Economics all said the same thing this week: the world no longer has a crude problem. It has a conversion problem. For operators with crude access, Think Energy is the solution that was operational before the headlines arrived.
Colombia Has Cheap Crude. It Should Stop Paying Expensive Diesel.
Brent crude fell $32 from its April peak. Diesel did not follow. The IEA says the market is fundamentally long crude but short conversion capacity and distillate inventories are 12 percent below their five-year seasonal average. For Colombian operators with crude or condensate access, Think Energy converts that cheap feedstock into on-site diesel in 90 to 120 days, at a cost that does not move when Goldman Sachs publishes a note on refining margins.
Global Diesel Supply Shock: Why Industrial Operators Can No Longer Depend on the Open Market
Four simultaneous pressures on global diesel markets, Goldman Sachs identified three structural forces this week, Russia removed another 11 percent of supply the same day. For operators with crude access, Think Energy converts that market exposure into a controlled production cost.